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Prediction of Campus Energy Consumption Patterns Using Machine Learning Techniques
Conference paper

Prediction of Campus Energy Consumption Patterns Using Machine Learning Techniques

Ezekiel Gabriel Nwibo, Professor Celestine Iwendi, Samuel Okechukwu Okozi, Jacinta Chioma Odirichukwu, Tochukwu Micheal Abia, Salome Enoshi Uwah, Zephaniah Echezonachhukwu Okoye and Simon Sunday Nwigwe
Computer and Energy Technologies
International Conference on Electrical, Computer and Energy Technologies 2025 (ICECET20205) (Paris, France, 03/07/2025–06/07/2025)

Abstract

– Artificial Intelligence Energy Management SARIMA ARIMA Prophet Machine Learning Renewable Energy
The exponential increase in campus energy consumption results from the rise in population density, leading to urbanisation and the use of higher energy-intensive devices within the environment. This study explored high-performance data analytics techniques to visualise energy consumption across buildings using datasets obtained from a load audit of the entire distribution network within the Federal University of Technology, Owerri. Advanced time series models were used to predict and forecast the consumption patterns for a year. Visualisations for this research provided detailed insights into the energy profile across all the clusters, while the SARIMA, ARIMA, and Prophet models predicted the energy demands. The heatmap for the correlation matrix reveals a constant energy scale throughout the week (weekend average energy usage is at least 40% of the weekday). A comparative performance was done to analyse the scalability and predictive abilities of the individual models. Results from the study indicate that SARIMA has the lowest mean square error (4.4896) and the highest R 2 score (0.8362). The study concludes that the adoption of machine learning models for energy forecasting and prediction is vital for modern-day energy management in the University.
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