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Time-series forecasting of crude oil production using hybrid modeling
Conference proceeding   Open access   Peer reviewed

Time-series forecasting of crude oil production using hybrid modeling

Umara Akhtar, Anchal Garg and Rossmary Villegas
OPJU International Technology Conference (OTCON 3.0) on Smart Computing for Innovation and Advancement in Industry 4.0
2024 OPJU International Technology Conference (OTCON) on Smart Computing for Innovation and Advancement in Industry 4.0 (Raigarh, India, 05/06/2024–07/06/2024)
30/09/2024

Abstract

Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA). Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) Hybrid Model stationarity
Crude oil is the main energy source, and its demand has been usually growing over years. It has always been an issue in the petroleum industry to forecast the production of crude oil to avoid disruption of supplies and keeping the prices of oil and commodities in control and thereby manage inflation. Hence, it becomes crucial to predict the production of crude oil. This study uses time series data to forecast crude oil production. Traditional statistical Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA). model and deep learning models like Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Artificial Neural Network (ANN), and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) are used for prediction and comparison. A hybrid technique is used to develop an ARIMA-ANN model to forecast crude oil production more accurately.
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